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Otto’s Notebook

An open framework under development

Competing in a World of Abundant Intelligence

[Add a concise explanation of the problem this project investigates and why it matters.]

Version
0.1
Status
Initial hypothesis
Last updated
[DATE]
Reading time
[XX minutes]

The central question

When intelligence becomes abundant, what remains scarce—and how can people and organizations build durable advantage around it?

[Add a short paragraph explaining why this question is the right one to ask now.]

The premise

What is becoming abundant

[Content to be added.]

What may be commoditized

[Content to be added.]

Where scarcity may migrate

[Content to be added.]

Why ownership and positioning matter

[Content to be added.]

The current model

The Scarcity Shift

Provisional model — The Scarcity Shift
  1. 01Former scarcity[What used to be hard to get.]
  2. 02Intelligence becomes abundant[What changed.]
  3. 03Bottleneck moves[Where the constraint goes.]
  4. 04New scarcity emerges[What is now hard to get.]
  5. 05Advantage is rebuilt[How advantage re-forms.]
Open the full framework

Framework components

What is being built

One integrated body of work, accumulating over time.

These are not separate offerings. Each part feeds the same framework and is revised as the evidence changes.

  1. 01Definitions[Shared vocabulary.]
  2. 02Principles[Durable statements.]
  3. 03Decision rules[Applied guidance.]
  4. 04Cases[Observed evidence.]
  5. 05Counterexamples[Where the model fails.]
  6. 06Research[Sources and notes.]
  7. 07Assessments[Ways to self-evaluate.]
  8. 08Practical tools[Worksheets and diagnostics.]

Latest revision

v0.1

[DATE]Initial hypothesis
What changed
[Describe the first published state of the framework.]
Why it changed
[No evidence gathered yet — this release states hypotheses only.]
Read the full changelog

Contribute a case

Where have you seen the scarcity move?

Has AI made something you do substantially easier, faster, cheaper, or less valuable? What became more important instead?

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